While both stocks clearly have the downside risk, using stops gives a finite amount of risk on a position which evens the playing field even if the above assumption was true. If my risk is 10% on a position no matter what, I’d rather buy the stock that’s already going in the right direction than one that I have to predict is going to turn around when I decide to buy it. This is the difference between paying a little more (expensive) to get on the train by buying a ticket and doing so safely, and not buying a ticket and getting caught the odd time, only to pay a fine that’s 50x the amount of the ticket.
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